The decision

Controls sit inside FEED. Offtake and execution lead.

The 2% loan supports signed volumes, renewable-fuel access, and the Class 3/4 capital check.

RiskSeverityMitigation
Offtake / pricePriority60–70% of years 10–20 under SPA. HyperHybrid first.
Execution / rampPriorityEPC lots with damages. DRI gated on offtake and certification.
Storage / capitalPrioritySite batteries versus pumped storage. The €149bn is reviewed in FEED.
TechnologyMediumVendor selection, water and desalination, hydrogen safety.
Europe rulesMediumRFNBO certification and steel standard on the FEED path.
CurrencyMed–lowEuro books. The 64→30 pound path is an assumption to test.
FinancingMediumHold leverage near 10%. Export credit and development finance by phase.

Ninety days to a FEED mandate. Then nine to twelve months of FEED.

The decree approves the budget and the programme office for the FEED path.

1–30

Stand up

PMO live. HyperHybrid evidence. Offtake template. Map 90–95 of P&L capital to phases. Advisor tender. Permit register.

31–60

Basis

FEED basis of design. EPC map. Storage study terms. Certification engagement. Phase-1 funding. Keep the loan near 10%.

61–90

Pack

Bankability model: discounted cash flow, debt cover, currency. Three steel-premium cases. Risk close-out. Investment paper for the FEED budget.

Decree articles

The case is confirmed. The decree places these four items in the term sheet. Signing them completes the FEED mandate.

01

Sovereign mandate

A named sovereign entity, with a Cabinet mandate for the licence, Sector A land, and the Law 2 sponsor.

02

OEM and HyperHybrid

One OEM platform under a technical licence that meets the assembler tests. Hybrid classification in writing.

03

Methanol sale contracts

Contracts that make renewable-fuel certificates a delivery condition, and pre-certification on the FEED path.

04

Development-finance paper

Interest-only, then a 50-year sculpt, at least 70% external, with operations inside five years of the Law 2 agreements.

Invited to join the corporation

The decree confirms GNAEC as the corporation that executes, and invites these partners to join it for the bankable FEED.

  • Europe

    Engineering, technology and industrial execution.

  • China

    Equipment, technology and industrial execution.

  • International and GCC investors

    International investors, and investors from the Gulf Cooperation Council, taking equity in the corporation.

  • Banks and institutions

    Major Egyptian and international banks and institutions, for debt, guarantees and long finance.

The decree

The decree authorizes bankable FEED.

The case holds: €184.7bn capital, €2.38tn sales, €18.2bn loan. Execution and offtake run inside the FEED path.

  1. 01Ninety-day mandate and a PMO.
  2. 02EGSVMC and European renewable-fuel offtake sprint.
  3. 03Class 3/4 storage study.
  4. 04Hold leverage near 10%.

Score 9/10 in Feasibility Study G. Status: ready for decree.

Feasibility Study G and the P&L. September 2026. Planning figures. Payback is simple revenue payback, not a discounted cash flow. The 64→30 pound path is a model assumption, not a forecast.